Ron Paul is not going to win the Republican Presidential Candidate nod. There, I said it. Hardly an earth shattering prediction there, I know, but it has to be said. He will not win the nod. Romney will – maybe Romney will get sly and choose him as the running mate, but I doubt that.
So he won’t get a chance to run in the national election. That’s too bad, really. I mean that. Ron Paul looks like a nice man and one could argue that it’s “his turn” to try for the top seat, but sadly he will not get the opportunity. Not that he could really defeat Obama anyway. I don’t say that lightly – I am not implying that Obama is a powerhouse of a political force or anything of the sort. But let’s get real here, the chances of defeating an incumbent President are usually fairly low, so even were Paul the Republican Candidate, it would be an uphill battle.
And, let’s get honest here, that’s a good thing. Paul has some mighty strange ideas when it comes to what he would do as President. True, there are things that he would want to do that are not technically within the powers of the President. True, there are things that Paul would do that are positive and even beneficial. But let’s cut to the chase here – Paul has some rather negative ideas as well, ideas that would be like poison to the Union, even ideas that reduce the overall “Liberty” that he claims to love so much.
Things like removing the Federal protection for women to have an abortion. I am not getting into the different dimensions and arguments surrounding abortion – those are arguments for different times. Just boil the issue back to one of rights and freedoms – a woman has the liberty to abort, good or bad. Paul would revoke that right. That is contrary to his status as a Libertarian.
So is his position on drugs and drug use. Many of Paul’s supporters back him merely because he stated that he would stop the Federal Governments war on drugs. Mind you, even I agree that this “war” needs to be stopped and the entire campaign against narcotics rethought. However, Paul does not wish to merely provide a “get out of jail free” card here or even a pass to smoke your weed or snort your heroin or whatever. Instead, he wants to eliminate the Federal war on drugs in place of providing the states the right to wage that same war. That is, provide the states the responsibility to decide what to do about drugs and their use. Before you celebrate, know that most states would and have prohibited the sale, production, and use of drugs all on their own, in addition to the Federal rules. Some states desire more harsh treatment of individuals that are found with drugs that the Federal rules disallow. Paul is not out to make weed legal, he’s out to make it a state problem to deal with.
Paul adheres to a form of constitutionalism. Before you jump to the conclusion I seem to imply, I agree with the most basic tenant of constitutionalism, that of a governing body being limited by a set code of law that describes what they may and may not do. Canada has a constitution and it is one that I agree with for the most part and one that I enjoy seeing used to limit how the Federal and Provincial governments may conduct business. I’m serious – it’s hilarious. Seeing a government pass a bill only for the Supreme Court knock it down as unconstitutional is a good laugh, though an infrequent one. Paul is a constitutionalist, so he’s good people to me, right? Yes and no. Yes, because the idea that the Constitution limits the Government is good. No, because the power he seeks to limit constitutionally are not in the constitution to limit.
Paul is following a common interpretation of the Constitutional Document and its Amendments pursued by many Libertarians. That interpretation promotes the idea that the powers outlined in that document must be read in as narrow a manner as possible. In any case where an amendment or clause is vague, the resulting interpretation should construe the power it grants to be as small as possible. This interpretation is used to support the idea that many of the agencies of the Government, created from the power interpreted from the Constitution are illegal and should be eliminated. The reasons provide to explain why these powers should not be governmental are myriad – liberty, free market nonsense, inefficiency – and I will not discuss them at the moment. A thought for later, maybe?
Anyway, suffice it to say that this angle on the constitution seeks to narrow and flatten Federal power in an effort to decrease the size of the Government and accrue more “liberty” for the people. Liberty is in quotes here and there is a good reason for that – liberty in this context is rarely defined in a clear manner or in a way that accounts for all the possible repercussions of a given act of “increasing liberty” (or even what increasing it actually means). The problem with that method of interpretation is that it is not the interpretation that the Federal Government uses. The Federal Government generally uses the interpretation of the Supreme Court, which decides matters of adherence to the document in lieu of cases brought before it that impinge upon those rules. The Supreme Court has, in turn, read the document and found protections in some manners, expansions in others, and reductions in still others. There is nothing in their interpretation that is illegal or immoral and it is that interpretation that is used to create or enforce a given program or law.
Paul and his supporters dislike that interpretation and seek to change it – to change the interpretation of the document from that of the Supreme Court to that of their own wants. Gone would be the Commerce Department, an agency with a small budget that promotes Business in the Union. To them, this is an agency that was illegally created from, get this, the Supreme Court reading of the Commerce clause of the Constitution. Takes your breathe away, doesn’t it? Same with the Environmental Protection Agency, created from the same clause (if I recall correctly) to provide environmental protection. Illegal, they say – a gross abuse of power. Paul supports that view and that view is, frankly, batshit insane. This interpretation would move the Government, legislatively speaking back a century or two. Any agency or program it created during this time would be illegal and eliminated.
The problem with that? Beyond the inherent unbalanced nature of such an action? It makes no contextual sense. The Constitution is a living document – a set of rules that must flex as time passes and society changes. The founding fathers were not gods among men – they were humans with pretty good intentions and a couple of sharp thinkers. Thinkers so sharp that they made the language of the document vague enough that it could be applied and re-interpreted as things changed. And they have. The Civil Rights Act – you know, the one that stopped a potential second civil war (this one over race) from occurring – is not in the Constitution. Not blatantly. But it does say “…that all men are created equal.”, does it not? People were not following the Constitution when they discriminated against African Americans because they are men and men are equal. So the Government made an Act to enforce that portion of the Constitution. Simple as that. That is not a power that it should not have possessed – it was a power it was 100 years late in exercising.
The point is simple. Ron Paul is a decent man, but he should not be President. His view of the law and the Government are demonstrably false and his intentions are almost all categorically against the health of the Union that is the United States.
Still, for evil assholes like myself (at times – my sense of humor can be fairly sick), a Ron Paul presidency would be a gold mine of insanity. Were it not for the Supreme Court, it would be amusing to have him be the President and watch the US tear itself apart. Good times, never to be.